Obamacare Polling and Mid-Term Elections

Obamacare supporters were downright giddy last week after enrollment through the government’s insurance exchanges hit the 7 million mark. An ABC News/Washington Post poll found a full 49 percent of Americans willing to offer support for the law, up from a low of 39 percent in 2012. But pundits who argue that the rise of Obamacare’s polling numbers from catastrophic to merely mediocre will save Democrats at the ballot box this fall are sorely mistaken.

Although support for the Affordable Care Act has ticked upward, that support is far from even — and the demographics most critical to this year’s midterms continue to oppose the law. For example, 76 percent of Democrats support Obamacare, but only 44 percent of Independents say the same, and a 54 percent majority of Independents remain opposed. (As you’d expect, 78 percent of Republicans oppose the law.)

More importantly, a majority of whites (57 percent), people over 40 (51 percent), and people who make more than $50,000 (54 percent) continue to oppose the healthcare law. Regardless of the political climate, the midterm electorate is always older, whiter and wealthier than a presidential-year electorate. The politicians who voted for Obamacare can take comfort in knowing that just under half the country supports their policy, but unfortunately, those aren’t the people who will be showing up to the polls.